
By Rick Tobin
Asset prices continue to peak near all-time record highs for various types of real estate, stocks, and commodities if you’re fortunate to own them. However, consumer debt levels are also peaking at record highs as the purchasing dollar of our dollar continues to fall to the weakest buying power ever.
Credit card balances in Q4 of 2025 reached an all-time record high at $1.28 trillion, a 5.5% annual increase, according to Yahoo Finance. Fewer Americans are able to pay off their balances in full each month as prices for goods and services keep rising and income for many is stagnant or falling.
Ironically, many people are more focused on 30-year fixed rates that are still in the single digits somewhere within the 6% to 9% rate range, depending on one’s credit, income documentation provided, and occupancy status.
Yet, more Americans these days are paying between 20% and 2,200% APRs (Annual Percentage Rates) for unsecured loans ranging from credit cards to Buy Now, Pay Later to early paycheck advance loans.
article continues after advertisement
The Importance of Income-Producing Assets
Nearly 60% of Americans say they live paycheck to paycheck, according to multiple surveys published by LendingClub.
Wealth distribution has become increasingly concentrated in the hands of fewer people since 1990. Overall, the top 10% of wealthiest Americans own more than the bottom 90% combined, with more than $95 trillion in wealth for the top 10%.
U.S. homeowners are 43 times wealthier than tenants. The average homeowner at retirement age has 83% of their net worth tied up in their main home.
For more details about how our imploding dollar is creating more asset wealth because real estate has proven to be an exceptional hedge against inflation and a weakening dollar by rising inversely in value like a seesaw to a falling dollar, please read my article entitled Asset Prices Surge Amidst Dollar Devaluation Trends.
Good News for Homeowners

Home prices rose in 71% of metro markets (167 out of 235) during the first quarter (Q1) of 2026, according to the National Association of Realtors (NAR). The national median single-family existing-home price increased 0.5% year-over-year to $404,300.
Median existing single-family home price by region (year-over-year change)
Northeast: $506,500 (+4.9%)
Midwest: $308,100 (+3.6%)
South: $362,300 (+0.2%)
West: $607,600 (-2.9%)
10 large markets with biggest year-over-year median price increases
1. Akron, Ohio (+12.0%)
2. Anchorage, Alaska (+10.4%)
3. Albany-Schenectady-Troy, N.Y. (+9.3%)
4. Trenton, N.J. (+9.2%)
5. Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, Iowa-Ill. (+9.2%)
6. Canton-Massillon, Ohio (+7.9%)
7. Milwaukee-Waukesha-West Allis, Wis. (+7.7%)
8. St. Louis, Mo.-Ill. (+7.4%)
9. Reading, Pa. (+7.4%)
10. Rochester, N.Y. (+7.2%)
10 most expensive markets
1. San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, Calif. ($2,030,000; +0.5%)
2. Anaheim-Santa Ana-Irvine, Calif. ($1,442,900; -0.5%)
3. San Francisco-Oakland-Hayward, Calif. ($1,350,000; +2.3%)
4. Urban Honolulu, Hawaii ($1,175,100; +0.9%)
5. San Diego-Carlsbad, Calif. ($1,050,000; +1.3%)
6. San Luis Obispo-Paso Robles, Calif. ($956,800; +0.4%)
7. Oxnard-Thousand Oaks-Ventura, Calif. ($944,200; +1.4%)
8. Salinas, Calif. ($943,500; -1.2%)
9. Los Angeles-Long Beach-Glendale, Calif. ($858,500; -0.5%)
10. Naples-Immokalee-Marco Island, Fla. ($845,000; -2.3%)
Source: NAR
The good news for existing homeowners with record high values can be bad news for people interested in buying affordable homes as their current rent payments also reach record highs.
Bad News for Consumers

Since 2019, various types of beef prices have risen between 50% and more than 70% as of early 2026, as per NerdWallet. Why does it seem like the true rates of inflation are significantly higher than the published inflation rates, especially for food?
If you’re drinking coffee as you read this article, coffee prices have jumped even more than beef at price percentage gains nearly 120% to 130% higher today compared to early 2020, according to NewsNation and the World Bank.
Over 70% of Americans say they’re struggling to afford basic essentials like food, housing, and health care, according to a new CBS News poll published on April 24, 2026.
Almost 1-in-3 Americans today use Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL) type of expensive credit services to buy groceries, as per recent LendingTree surveys.
Tragically, paying consumer debt that has double (20%), triple (220%), or quadruple (2,200%) digit percentage rates can create a downward debt spiral towards the figurative deep, dark abyss that only worsens over time as the debt continues to compound in size.
As shared before, time is the enemy for debt, while usually being an exceptional ally for real estate as home values can double or triple in value over many years.
article continues after advertisement
2008 vs. 2026 Comparisons
Homes
In California, the average 2008 home price was $318,075. In January 2008, the median home sales price in Southern California was $415,000, but by year-end, it had dropped to $278,000 as the Great Recession worsened.
In 2008, the average U.S. home sale price was around $292,600 as compared to the California average home price of $278,000. This is one of the few times when California home prices were closer to the national average instead of more than double the national average as seen in recent years.
The number of foreclosures increased significantly in 2008, reaching 56% of California homes sold by year-end. From peak to trough between 2007 and 2012, California home prices fell to an all-time state record of -41.7%.
In 2007, the median home price in California was $505,577, showing a significant decline in 2008 as foreclosures skyrocketed after peaking in price near 2006 or 2007, depending on the California region.
Median statewide home prices for California in recent years have varied between $850,000 and $915,000. By Q1 of 2026, numerous coastal regions in the San Diego, Orange County, Los Angeles, Santa Barbara, San Francisco, and San Jose regions have home price averages anywhere between $1 million and $2 million dollars.
It’s not uncommon to see a large number of listed homes priced in the $20 million to $400 million region as I recently saw for a new home listing in Bel Air, California.
Credit Cards and Mortgage Rates

The average interest rate for all credit cards in February 2008 was 12.47%. Today, the average APR (rate and fees) is closer to 29%. The average car loan rate for a new car was just under 7% in Q2 2008.
Subprime automobile loan rates can vary between 13% and 30%+ in 2026. Millions of cars are now being repossessed each year because it’s quite challenging to pay rapidly increasing car loan balance payments and nearly record-high insurance and maintenance costs at the same time, sadly.
In 2026, almost 20% of new car loan payments are more than $1,000 per month. Car loan terms are rapidly increasing from three or five years to seven or eight years to make them more “affordable” as noted by some new truck loans costing more than $3,000 per month.
In 2008, the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate was near 6.03%. In November 2008, the average mortgage loan was $211,200. For an $211,200 mortgage priced at 6.03%, the payment (principal and interest) would’ve been $1,270.33 per month.
In 2026, 30-year fixed rate averages hovered within the low to high 6% rate range on average. However, the loan amounts and purchase prices today are significantly higher than back in 2008. As a result, homes in most U.S. regions are the most unaffordable ever as compared to median household income.
Burritos

In 2008, the average cost of a burrito at Taco Bell was around 79 to 89 cents. Today, a burrito at our nearby Chipotle restaurant may cost anywhere between $12 and $18.
An increasing number of Americans are buying burritos and other fast foods off of Buy Now, Pay Later services that it’s also being referred to as Burrito Now, Pay Later.
If and when home and burrito prices later fall, there will be tremendous opportunities for those investors who are patient just like after 2008.
Reduce Debt & Keep on Learning

Whether you currently have a negative net worth like so many Americans today or own a huge portfolio of free-and-clear real estate properties and stocks, it’s important to attempt to pay down or pay off debt that can sink you quicker than a 100-pound anchor in the sea, if possible.
It’s been said that “the only constant in life is change.” Today’s world is changing at perhaps the fastest pace in world history. What worked last week may not work next week because of these seemingly lightning-fast changes all around us.
At the same time, stay focused on researching and learning as much as possible about how to invest in whatever interests you. Be consistent with your research and daily targets, regardless of what is happening all around you.
Your action is much more empowering than inaction. While change can be scary, it also brings new opportunities for those who are prepared and willing to take the risk that they hopefully reduce after striving to learn something new every single day.

Rick Tobin has worked in the real estate, financial, investment, and writing fields for the past 30+ years. He’s held eight (8) different real estate, securities, and mortgage brokerage licenses to date and is a graduate of the University of Southern California.
Rick provides creative residential and commercial mortgage solutions for clients across the nation. He’s also written college textbooks and real estate licensing courses in most states for the two largest real estate publishers in the nation; the oldest real estate school in California; and the first online real estate school in California.
Please visit his website at Realloans.com for financing options, join his investment group at So-Cal Real Estate Investors, and follow his new So-Cal Real Estate TV channel for more details.
Rick Tobin
Realloans (Real Estate Loans)
https://realloans.com/
Phone or Text: (760) 485 – 2422
NMLS 1934868
Equal Housing Opportunity / Equal Housing Lender
To quickly apply online: Loan Application
For our real estate course: Learn Real Estate
Please follow our new real estate channel (watch on television, computers, and phones): So-Cal Real Estate TV
Our Facebook business pages: Realloans, Inside Los Angeles, Inside Pacific Palisades, Inside Long Beach, Inside Huntington Beach, Inside Orange County, Inside La Jolla, Inside San Diego, Inside Lake Elsinore, Inside Temecula Valley, Inside Coachella Valley, and So-Cal Real Estate Investors.
Here are some of my articles: The Fall of 2025 and Rise of New Opportunities, The Intersection of Declining Home Sales and Creative Marketing, Are Lower Rates on the Horizon?, Weather Extremes, Homes, and Insurance Risks, The California Gold Rush Boom, and Are You Focused on Commercial Real Estate?
Please join my So-Cal Real Estate Investors group that meets at Canyon Lake Golf & Country Club, Shoreline Yacht Club in Long Beach, and online: So-Cal Real Estate Investors.








































